tool name

close
tool goes here

NFL Preview - San Diego (4-5) at Denver (6-3) (ET)

If it's not already been done, let's go ahead and label the Peyton Manning experiment a success.

Published: Nov. 15, 2012 at 8:57 a.m. PST
0 comments

If it's not already been done, let's go ahead and label the Peyton Manning experiment a success.

The Denver Broncos, who advanced to the playoffs last season on miracles, mirages and impeccably timed opposition missteps, are looking like a much more certain commodity this season.

And while ex-starter Tim Tebow is mired in anonymous locker room sniping along the East Coast, that same Mr. Manning has the orange within striking range of full-scale domination of the AFC's West Division.

Denver can go three games up on the team perceived to be its sturdiest challenger -- the San Diego Chargers -- when the Broncos host them on Sunday at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

The hosts have won four straight games since a 2-3 start, the most important of which may have been the 35-24 defeat of the Chargers in San Diego that saw Denver climb from a 24-0 halftime hole.

The Chargers have won once in three games since -- against the last-place Kansas City Chiefs.

"Denver's playing amazing right now," San Diego safety Eric Weddle said. "All three phases are playing well off of each other and it shows on the tape."

Manning has emerged as a frontrunner for another MVP award -- he already has four -- with a 108.0 passer rating and a career-best 69.7 completion percentage.

He leads all players in fan-based Pro Bowl voting with 376,981 votes, more than 30,000 ahead of New England's Tom Brady and 43,000 up on Houston running back Arian Foster.

Balloting will conclude Dec. 17.

On the other side of the ball, the defense is sixth in the league, has allowed less than 19 points per game in the win streak and has dropped the opposing quarterback 12 times in the last two weeks alone.

Not to mention special teams, on which Trindon Holliday has run back kicks for touchdowns for two straight games as well.

Meanwhile, San Diego routed the Chiefs two weeks ago, but lost a chance to stay closer to the Broncos by frittering away a second-half lead last week in Tampa Bay.

Quarterback Philip Rivers was intercepted twice after halftime. One was returned for a fourth-quarter TD.

"The big negative plays, the turnovers are killing us," coach Norv Turner said. "Our biggest thing is we need to go put four quarters together, play at a high level, take care of the ball and not give up. If a team's going to make plays on you, make them earn it. Don't give up easy plays. It's a challenge for us coming into Denver."

Rivers has had career-long success in Denver -- winning five of six starts there -- but his 56.5 passer rating in the fourth quarter of games this season is poor, and his six interceptions in those situations are a league-worst. A late pick against the Broncos in the initial meeting was returned for a score by Chris Harris.

Conversely, Manning has a 121.9 rating in the last quarter, with nine touchdowns and no interceptions.

He's climbed within one scoring pass of tying Dan Marino for second in NFL history and has been sacked just 11 times this season, thanks to an offensive line particularly vital to his post-injury success.

"They have done a great job and certainly every quarterback appreciates it when you don't get sacked," he said.

Rivers, who's been dropped 22 times overall -- but only four in the last three games -- could be the target this week of Denver's Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil, who've combined for 17 sacks. Dumervil is questionable, however, after a shoulder injury last week. Back in the fold will be linebacker D.J. Williams, who's missed all nine games with a combination of off-field suspensions.

Chargers running back Ryan Mathews is also questionable with a stiff neck.

Elsewhere, San Diego tight end Antonio Gates has four TDs in his last four games and scored twice in the initial game with the Broncos last month. He's one score from equaling Lance Alworth's team standard of 81.

The Broncos lead the historic all-time series, 56-48-1, and have won two straight, though the Chargers had taken four in a row at the midway point of last season. San Diego's Turner is 8-9 in his career against Denver, while Denver's John Fox is 3-2 against the Chargers.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR

Denver has never beaten Rivers twice in any season in which he's been the starter, and forcing him into the same mistakes he made in the October game will be vital in ending that streak.

As recent history shows, he's simply not the same quarterback when he's being consistently harassed. The Broncos sacked Rivers four times in San Diego and enter this week as the league's overall leader with 31. They're also sixth in the NFL in interceptions with 10. Rivers passed for 337 yards against a sturdy Tampa Bay defense last week -- but eventually threw the two late picks that sealed the loss.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

The Broncos have surprised the most cynical of NFL observers this season, with Manning's better-than-anticipated return and the continued high-level play of a defense that was key to Tebow's success last season. In front of a home crowd and with the atmosphere jacked up closer to playoff intensity, they should avoid the 24-point deficit this time en route to a grinding, decisive and season-defining win.

Sports Network predicted outcome: Broncos 20, Chargers 17

JOIN THE DISCUSSION | Register here

We welcome comments. Please keep them civil, short and to the point. ALL CAPS, spam, obscene, profane, abusive and off topic comments will be deleted. Repeat offenders will be blocked. Thanks for taking part — and abiding by these simple rules. A thorough explanation of rules of conduct can be found in our Terms of Service. If you have any questions, including why your comment may not be showing immediately after you submit it, be sure to visit the commenting FAQ.

CONTESTS

Similar stories

  • NFL Game Capsules - Week 15

    The Atlanta Falcons got their revenge, and made quite a statement as well in doing so. Matt Ryan threw three touchdown passes, including a pair to Julio Jones, and the Falcons dealt the New York Giants their first regular-season shutout in 16 years with an authoritative 34-0 victory at the Georgia Dome. Atlanta (12-2) got its payback for a 24-2 throttling by the Giants during last season's NFC Wild Card Playoffs behind a near-flawless performance from Ryan, with the standout quarterback completing a sharp 23-of-28 passes for 270 yards without a turnover. The Falcons' defense did its part as well, intercepting New York's Eli Manning twice in the first half and stopping the Giants on downs three times over the course of the game. Manning managed just 161 yards on an off-target 14-of-26 efficiency as New York (8-6) was held scoreless in a non-playoff setting for the first time since a 24-0 setback at Philadelphia on Dec. 1, 1996. Jones ended with 74 yards on six catches and Tony Gonzalez added a touchdown grab for the NFC South champion Falcons, who can clinch a first-round playoff bye if San Francisco loses to New England on Sunday night. The result could be considerably more costly for the Giants, now 2-4 over their last six outings. New York would relinquish its one-game lead over Dallas and Washington in the NFC East if either the Cowboys or Redskins win their Week 15 matchups.

  • NFL Preview - Oakland (4-11) at San Diego (6-9) (ET)

    A hard-hit taken last weekend will cause Oakland Raiders starting quarterback Carson Palmer to miss the final game of the season.

  • NFL Game Capsules - Week 12

    Cam Newton passed for two touchdowns and ran in two more as the Carolina Panthers took a 30-22 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles in a battle between two last-place teams. Newton finished the game 18-for-28 with 306 yards through the air and added 52 yards on 15 carries for the Panthers (3-8), who snapped a two-game slide but still sit at the bottom of the NFC South, two games back of New Orleans. Steve Smith had four catches for 60 yards and became the 27th player all-time in the NFL to go over 11,000 receiving yards for his career. Gary Barnidge and Brandon LaFell had first-quarter touchdown catches in the win. Rookie Bryce Brown made his first career start in place of an injured LeSean McCoy and set a single-game rookie record for the Eagles (3-8) with 178 yards. He carried the ball 19 times and had two scores along with four catches for 11 yards, but had a pair of fumbles in the third quarter. McCoy suffered a concussion in last week's loss to Washington. Nick Foles made his second straight start under center as Michael Vick is still recovering from a concussion. He went 16- for-21 in the game, but managed just 119 yards as Philadelphia has lost seven straight for the first time since losing the final seven games of the 1994 season and are two games behind Washington and Dallas for last place in the NFC East.

  • NFL Game Capsules - Week 12

    Michael Bush had two touchdowns on the ground and the Chicago Bears took a 28-10 win over the Minnesota Vikings in an NFC North battle from Soldier Field. Jay Cutler, who returned to play after sitting out last week's loss to San Francisco with a concussion, was 23- for-31 with 188 yards, one touchdowns and one interception for the Bears (8-3), who snapped a two-game skid to move a half-game ahead of Green Bay for first place in the NFC North. The Packers are in action on Sunday night in New York against the Giants. Christian Ponder was 22-for-43 with 159 yards, one touchdown and one interception for the Vikings (6-5), who were coming off their bye week and lost for a third time in their past four games. Adrian Peterson carried the ball 18 times for 108 yards in the loss.

  • NFL Preview - Tampa Bay (6-5) at Denver (8-3) (ET)

    Another consistent outing from Peyton Manning and a bend- but-don't break effort from the defense has the Denver Broncos on the verge of back-to-back division titles for the first time in 25 years.