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Mortgage bailout moves ahead
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac agree on federal government rescue plan, officials say
Published: 09/07/08   6:37 am
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WASHINGTON – Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac agreed Saturday afternoon to the Bush administration’s plan to rescue them, people briefed on the plan said.

Under the plan, the Treasury Department will buy billions of dollars in new mortgage securities issued by the companies and inject an unknown amount of capital into them in quarterly installments, according to these people.

Today, the government plans to announce that it will take control of the mortgage finance giants, remove the top executives and their boards, and appoint a conservator to begin to nurse them back to health. Senior government officials including Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and James Lockhart, the top regulator for the companies, informed their top executives about the plan in meetings Friday and Saturday.

The moves by the Bush administration hold the prospect of becoming the biggest government-funded bailout of private industry in American history. They would put the federal government in control of institutions that finance or guarantee about half of all the mortgages in the country.

The details of the deal have not fully emerged, but it appears that investors who own the companies’ common stock will be virtually wiped out. Preferred shareholders, who have priority over other shareholders, may also end up with little. Holders of debt, including many foreign central banks, are expected to receive government backing.

The administration is not expected to say how much the bailout ultimately will cost, in part because it does not know how much the Treasury will be able to ultimately sell the assets for. It could be politically uncomfortable to put a price tag on a huge bailout, only two months before the presidential election. The Congressional Budget Office said two months ago that it was impossible to say how much a bailout would cost, but estimated $25 billion based on the companies’ projected losses at the time.

The takeover plan came together hurriedly after advisers poring over the companies’ books for the Treasury Department concluded that Freddie’s accounting methods had overstated its capital cushion – the assets that regulators require them to keep on hand to cover losses, according to regulatory officials briefed on the matter.

Treasury Secretary Paulson, who won authority from Congress last month to use taxpayer money to bolster the companies, always maintained that he hoped never to use that power.

Then, last week, advisers from Morgan Stanley hired by the Treasury Department to scrutinize the companies came to a troubling conclusion: Freddie Mac’s capital position was worse than initially imagined, according to people briefed on those findings. The company had made decisions that, while not necessarily in violation of accounting rules, had the effect of overstating the company’s capital resources and financial stability.

Indeed, one person briefed on the company’s finances said Freddie Mac had made accounting decisions that pushed losses into the future and postponed a capital shortfall until the fourth quarter of this year, which would not need to be disclosed until early 2009. Fannie Mae has used similar methods, but to a lesser degree, according to other people who have been briefed.

Representatives of both companies did not return calls or declined to comment.

The big question now is whether the federal government’s move to take over Fannie and Freddie will restore investor confidence in the nation’s credit markets, help stabilize the stock market and keep loans flowing to creditworthy borrowers.

Fannie and Freddie, by buying mortgages, provide banks and other financial institutions with fresh money to make new loans, a vital lubricant for the housing and credit markets.

As a result of the government’s intervention, the cost of borrowing for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should decline, because the government will be insuring their debts. Equally important, because the government is backing the companies, they will continue to buy and sell home loans.

But the plan will probably do little to stop home prices from falling further. And foreclosures are almost certain to rise.

 

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