We are about three weeks away from the Pac-12 Tournament, which tips off at noon on March 13 in Las Vegas at the MGM Grand. The tournament, at this point, appears to be Washington's only long-distance hope to make the NCAA Tournament.
First, the tiebreakers for determining seeding:
If there is a two-team tie, the first tiebreaker is head-to-head competition. The next is each team’s record versus the team occupying the highest position in the final regular standings and that process trickles through the standings until one team gains an advantage.
The next tiebreaker step is when arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s record against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure), rather than the performance against individual tied teams.
If the tie still isn’t broken, the teams’ won-lost percentage is looked at. Finally, if necessary, a coin toss by the commissioner or designee could determine seeding.
As a result, here are the seedings if the tournament started today:
1. Oregon 10-3
2. UCLA 9-4
3 Arizona 9-4
4. Arizona state 8-5
5. Cal 8-5
6. Colorado 7-6
7. USC 7-6
8. Washington 6-7
9. Stanford 6-7
10. Oregon State 3-10
11. Utah 3-10
12. Washington State 2-11
That means Washington would play Stanford in the 8-9 game to start the tournament at noon Wednesday. The winner has to play the No. 1 seed, which is Oregon at this point, the next day.
Here's the bracket:
(8) Washington vs. Stanford (9) -- winner plays No. 1 seed Oregon.
(5) Cal vs. (12) Washington State -- winner plays No. 4 seed Arizona State
(7) USC vs. (10) Oregon State -- winner plays No. 2 seed UCLA
(6) Colorado vs. (11) Utah -- winner plays No. 3 seed Arizona