With the exception of the 4A Narrows League, 2A South Puget Sound League and 2A Evergreen Conference, the No. 1 seeds from high school football leagues around the South Sound have been determined for the upcoming playoffs.
Still, there are plenty of wide-ranging scenarios heading into Week 9:
Playoff locks: Emerald Ridge 5-0 divisional record, Graham-Kapowsin 4-1, Curtis 4-2.
In the hunt: Spanaway Lake 2-3, Bethel 2-3.
Emerald Ridge has clinched a share of the divisional title and has wrapped up the top seed.
Graham-Kapowsin can grab a share of the SPSL South title with a win over Bethel, and a Jaguars’ loss. Locked in as the No. 2 seed.
Win or lose, Curtis is the No. 3 seed.
The No. 4 seed comes down to two teams – Spanaway Lake and Bethel.
If the Sentinels defeat Emerald Ridge, they clinch the final playoff spot. They can also take that berth with a loss if Bethel loses, and Rogers defeats Puyallup.
Bethel needs help. If the Braves win, and Spanaway Lake loses – they are in. If both teams lose, and Puyallup beats Rogers – there would be a three-way tie for fourth, with Bethel clinching on a points-differential tiebreaker.
SPSL NORTHWEST/NORTHEAST (five berths)
Playoff locks: Federal Way 4-0 divisional record, Kentwood 4-0, Beamer 3-1, Kent-Meridian 3-1.
In the hunt: Jefferson 2-2, Tahoma 2-2.
Four schools – SPSL Northwest champion Federal Way, SPSL Northeast champion Kentwood and divisional runners-up Beamer and Kent-Meridian have all clinched district playoff spots. They play for seeding Friday.
The only thing left to be determined is the division’s No. 5 spot to the postseason. Jefferson and Tahoma play off for that Thursday night in Federal Way.
4A NARROWS (four berths)
Playoff locks: Gig Harbor 5-0 league record, Bellarmine Prep 4-1, Olympia 4-1.
In the hunt: Timberline 2-3, South Kitsap 2-3.
Gig Harbor is in the driver’s seat. A win would lock up the Tides’ first No. 1 seed since winning the Narrows Bridge title in 2005 (they won the divisional title in 2006, but were the No. 2 seed after a Narrows crossover loss to Olympia).
If Gig Harbor loses at Bellarmine Prep, but by no more than 10 points, it still collects the top seed.
A Bellarmine Prep win, and it grabs a share of its fourth consecutive 4A Narrows title. A Lions’ win by more than 11 points sews up the No. 1 seed.
If Gig Harbor wins, and Olympia defeats Yelm, the Bears would take the No. 2 seed, with Bellarmine Prep going as the No. 3 seed.
The South Kitsap-Timberline winner is the No. 4 seed.
3A SPSL (four berths)
Playoff locks: Peninsula 6-0 league record, Auburn Mountainview 5-1.
In the hunt: Auburn 4-2, Lakes 3-3, Enumclaw 3-3, Sumner 2-4.
Peninsula earned its third consecutive league title last week by beating Auburn Riverside, clinching the No. 1 seed. The Seahawks win it outright with a victory over Bonney Lake, or a loss and an Auburn Mountainview loss.
If Auburn Mountainview wins at Enumclaw on Thursday night, and Peninsula loses, the two schools would be co-champions. The Lions are locked in as the No. 2 seed.
If Auburn wins at home over Lakes, it is the No. 3 seed.
Then it gets complicated: If Auburn loses to Lakes, and Enumclaw loses to Auburn Mountainview, Auburn and Lakes would be tied for the last two spots. The Lancers would go as the No. 3 seed based on their-head-to-head win.
If Lakes, Enumclaw and Sumner lose, the Lancers and Hornets would be tied for the final playoff berth, which Enumclaw would take it based on its head-to-head victory.
If Auburn, Lakes and Enumclaw all end up 4-3 in league, the teams would play off for the final two playoff berths Tuesday (Nov. 4) at Franklin Pierce High School in mini-games (two 12-minute quarters).
If Lakes, Enumclaw and Sumner all finish at 3-4, same thing – a Tuesday set of tiebeaker games would be held to determine the No. 4 spot.
Playoff locks: Lincoln 6-0 league record, Capital 5-1, Central Kitsap 4-2, Wilson 4-2.
Lincoln has taken the No. 1 seed. The Abes would win the 3A Narrows title outright with a victory over Foss on Friday night.
Capital can still earn a share of the league title with a win over Shelton, and a Lincoln loss to the Falcons. The Cougars can be no worse than the No. 2 team to the playoffs.
The Central Kitsap-Wilson winner Thursday night locks up the No. 3 seed; the loser is the No. 4 seed.
2A SPSL (four berths)
Playoff locks: Franklin Pierce 5-1 league record, River Ridge 5-1, Fife 4-2.
In the hunt: Steilacoom 4-2, Orting 3-3.
The league title is still up for grabs. If Franklin Pierce beats Washington, the Cardinals are the No. 1 seed.
If Franklin Pierce loses, and River Ridge wins at Steilacoom, the Hawks would win the title outright and take the No. 1 seed.
If both teams win, the Cardinals are still No. 1 based on their earlier win over River Ridge. The Hawks would be No. 2.
If all the favored teams — Franklin Pierce over Washington, River Ridge over Steilacoom, Fife over Clover Park, and Orting over White River — win Friday, the Cardinals would be No. 1, the Hawks would be No. 2, Fife would be No. 3 and Orting would be No. 4 based on its earlier win over Steilacoom.
With all that being said, Steilacoom still has a path to not only a share of the league title, but the No. 1 seed. If Franklin Pierce loses to Washington, the Sentinels beat River Ridge, and Fife loses to Clover Park, they would be tied with Franklin Pierce and River Ridge for the SPSL 2A crown. Steilacoom would get the No. 1 seed because of head-to-head wins over the other two schools.
Aside from that, certain three-way (River Ridge, Steilacoom, Fife at 5-2 for final three berths) or four-way ties (Franklin Pierce, River Ridge, Steilacoom, Fife at 5-2 for all four berths) would be settled over a point-differential tiebreaker, or through mini-games Tuesday (Nov. 4) at a site yet to be determined, league commissioner Mike Miller said.
2A EVERGREEN (three berths)
Playoff locks: Tumwater 2-0 league record, W.F. West 2-0.
In the hunt: Black Hills 0-2, Centralia 0-2.
It is this simple – the winner of Tumwater-W.F. West on Friday night in Chehalis would capture the league title outright and No. 1 seed. The loser would be the No. 2 seed.
The Black Hills-Centralia game in Tumwater will determine the final seed.
1A NISQUALLY (two berths)
Playoff locks: Cascade Christian 3-0 league record, Charles Wright 2-1.
Cascade Christian has already taken the league title and No. 1 seed. Charles Wright is No. 2.
2B PACIFIC LEAGUE
North Beach has clinched the No. 1 seed, Raymond is the No. 2 seed and Life Christian Academy is the No. 3 seed. The Eagles would play a crossover playoff game with a team from the Central 2B League for a state berth.