If you haven't checked out Yahoo's Big League Stew blog, it's something you should add to your bookmarks. It's a mixture of links, analysis and humor. You'll also find it on the ever expanding and ever changing blog roll on the left hand side, which I'm trying to update and organize.
But in today's Big League Stew, Alex Remington asks and tries to answer this simple question:
What can the Mariners expect from Ken Griffey Jr. in 2010?
Remington looks at last year's performance and also the projection systems for the 2010 season.
The major projection systems tend to disagree about how much he'll play, but most of them tend to agree about how well he'll play: Bill James predicts a .741 OPS in 286 PA, while CHONE projects a .676 OPS in 410 AB. Generally speaking, the more they think he'll play, the worse they think he'll do.
Later he answers the question...
But if they give him a few hundred at-bats (or are forced to do so through injury), he'll hurt their lineup even if they bat him ninth. Not as badly as Yuniesky Betancourt used to do ... but badly enough. In this case, it all depends on what manager Don Wakamatsu decides to do with him. M's fans have to hope that he'll write the lineup with his head, not his heart.
So what do you think? Is Remington right? Or does Griffey have more left in that left handed swing? Will a healthier knee and perhaps a somewhat trimmer body make a difference? I'm looking for input from you the fans.
What is your answer to the question: