Good Morning from snowy Green Bay. The weather forecast today is for snow and temperatures in the 20s, so play could be a little sloppy, although the turf at Lambeau Field is heated to help keep the snow off the ground. Here’s my four keys for the game.
Ball security: The Seahawks need a +2 turnover ratio to have a chance on the road today. So they have to take care of the ball, and they have to force a couple turnovers to steal some possessions from a pretty good Green Bay offense.
Run Forsett, Run: Justin Forsett and Julius Jones need to have big days today. Seattle ran the ball pretty effectively in the first half against Tampa Bay. The Packers defense is much better, but if Seattle can get the ground game going, it should help eat up some clock and keep the Packers offense off the field.
Use the middle of the field: This isn’t exactly the best day to turn to the passing game, but expect Matt Hasselbeck to use his big target in John Carlson and try to loosen up Green Bay’s defense by hitting Carlson in the middle of the field. And also look for T.J. Houshmandzadeh to work those soft spots in the zones today.
Turn up the pressure: Aaron Rodgers has been sacked a league-leading 49 times, although he’s only been sacked six times in the last four games. Seattle has to get to the passer. They don't have a sack in the past two games. Darryl Tapp should have some extra motivation after Rodgers accused Tapp of biting him last year, so let’s see if Tapp can get back there today.
In order to have a chance against Green Bay today Seattle will have to slow down quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who’s playing well right now.
TNT’s Dave Boling notes that Seattle’s slide began two years ago in a playoff game at Green Bay. Seattle’s only won nine games since then.
Here’s a different side to T.J. Houshmandzadeh that you don’t normally read about.
Eric Larson, a former sportswriter for the Chicago Tribune RedEye uses a statistical forecasting method he calls “The 300 Theory” to prove that Matt Hasselbeck is one of the worst quarterbacks in the league. It’s an interesting read, although I think it’s flawed.
Greg Johns of Seattlepi.com predicts a 34-13 Packers win.
Clare Farnsworth of Seahawks.com says Seattle will be wise to know where Green Bay cornerback Charles Woodson is at all times.
Greg Bedard of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel says the Packers are concerned about Seahawks tight end John Carlson.
And here’s a preview of today’s game from the Journal Sentinel.