MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Tuesday, May 19
It's the "Tuesday Trot Tracker," and the long-ball setups are all over the board tonight. Several pitchers are bringing major fly-ball issues and rough splits into dangerous matchups, while a few hot bats are stepping into perfect spots to keep the power surge rolling.
We have Zach Neto bringing strong splits against lefties into a matchup against a pitcher serving up home runs nonstop, Harrison Bader heating up at the plate against one of the more fly-ball-heavy arms on the slate, and Daulton Varsho stepping into a matchup against a pitcher he's already taken deep twice. If you're chasing dingers Tuesday night, these are bats with serious moonshot potential.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.
Best Home Run Props Today
Zach Neto Home Run Bet (+TBD)
Neto feels like a pretty nice home run play on Tuesday night against Jacob Lopez. Instead of forcing a Mike Trout pick during his slump, Neto looks like the better value right now. He already has seven bombs this season and has hit lefties well all year. Lopez also has been serving up fly balls and home runs nonstop, allowing 10 already this season with eight coming against righties. Feels like a great setup for Neto to leave the yard Tuesday night.
Harrison Bader Home Run Bet(+TBD)
Bader feels like a fun home run target Tuesday night against Ryne Nelson. Nelson gives up a ton of fly balls and already has nine home runs allowed this season, which is always something I like targeting. Bader's average hasn't been pretty, but the power has definitely picked up lately with three home runs over the last week. He's also already homered off Nelson before. With the way Nelson gives up elevated contact, this feels like another nice spot for Bader to go deep.
Daulton Varsho Home Run Bet (+404)
Varsho has owned Will Warren; in two career at-bats, he has two hits, and both turned into home runs. Four of Varsho's five home runs this season also have come against righties. Warren has had a tough time with left-handed bats too, giving up five of his six home runs to them while allowing plenty of fly balls. This just feels like another really good setup for a Varsho bomb Tuesday night.
2026 MLB HR Leaders
- DH Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (20)
- 1B Munetaka Murakami, Chicago White Sox (17)
- OF Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (16)
- DH Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros (15)
- OF Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (15)
- 1B Ben Rice, New York Yankees (15)
- 1B Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves (14)
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This story was originally published May 19, 2026 at 4:30 AM.